TITLE: The Orbital Theory of Ice Ages on Mars ABSTRACT: Norbert Schorghofer, Astrobiology Institute University of Hawaii Extensive ice reservoirs have been discovered on both hemispheres of Mars, where ice exists beneath a thin (decimeter) layer of dry soil; it was most recently explored by the Phoenix Lander. Multiple approaches have convincingly demonstrated that the subsurface ice readily exchanges vapor with the atmosphere; small-scale physical processes govern planetary-scale climate behavior. These lessons can be exploited to investigate how ice volume responds to orbital variations, in analogy to the Milankovitch theory of Ice Ages on Earth. The emerging view of the history of ice on Mars is one where significant volumes of ice are redistributed in response to orbital forcing, and many ice ages have occurred in the past few million years. I will also describe a prototype of a globally balanced model of the Martian water cycle, which will be the first climate model capable of reproducing the Polar Layered Deposits.